Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.121500 0.140508 0.161490 0.186369 0.215063 0.247125 0.285678
2025-11-30 0.091939 0.117519 0.148646 0.189306 0.241035 0.304686 0.389032
2025-12-07 0.073388 0.100604 0.136054 0.185604 0.253108 0.341943 0.467913
2025-12-14 0.061278 0.088943 0.127036 0.183303 0.264359 0.377036 0.545889
2025-12-21 0.053628 0.081791 0.122478 0.185523 0.280841 0.419773 0.638164
2025-12-28 0.049242 0.078502 0.122631 0.193997 0.306653 0.477956 0.758976
2026-01-04 0.044889 0.074519 0.120995 0.199151 0.327491 0.530330 0.876309
2026-01-11 0.041090 0.070818 0.119177 0.203499 0.347112 0.582353 0.998344
2026-01-18 0.037358 0.066690 0.116055 0.205103 0.362039 0.627849 1.114044
2026-01-25 0.033450 0.061728 0.110879 0.202423 0.369052 0.660336 1.210383
2026-02-01 0.029492 0.056171 0.103980 0.195781 0.368082 0.678456 1.282577
2026-02-08 0.027500 0.053972 0.102809 0.199336 0.385866 0.731582 1.424128
2026-02-15 0.025301 0.051170 0.100300 0.200261 0.399134 0.778373 1.560232
2026-02-22 0.023596 0.049132 0.099022 0.203421 0.417085 0.835950 1.723948
2026-03-01 0.021302 0.045624 0.094453 0.199444 0.420268 0.864871 1.833170
2026-03-08 0.019429 0.042759 0.090842 0.196972 0.426146 0.899575 1.957772
2026-03-15 0.018212 0.041144 0.089621 0.199358 0.442411 0.957109 2.136708
2026-03-22 0.017684 0.040975 0.091429 0.208460 0.474098 1.050226 2.402886
2026-03-29 0.016891 0.040114 0.091632 0.213998 0.498440 1.129861 2.647560
2026-04-05 0.016091 0.039140 0.091471 0.218668 0.521273 1.208368 2.898036
2026-04-12 0.015145 0.037711 0.090115 0.220391 0.537408 1.273268 3.123618
2026-04-19 0.013979 0.035614 0.086978 0.217512 0.542261 1.312493 3.291930
2026-04-26 0.012662 0.032990 0.082307 0.210377 0.535970 1.324683 3.395326